Every Rose Has Its Thorn: A Rosy Scenario for the S&P 500 - FINANCIAL-24

Every Rose Has Its Thorn: A Rosy Scenario for the S&P 500 - FINANCIAL-24 - FINANCIAL-24, we has prepared this article well for you to read and retrieve information in it. Okay, happy reading.

Every Rose Has Its Thorn: A Rosy Scenario for the S&P 500 - FINANCIAL-24

As of June 2 2018, the S&P 500 hit a record high of 2,440. The current valuation reflects the market view that GAAP earnings will reach 134 by December 2018 (https://us.spindices.com). This scenario assumes that S&P 500 earnings will be 34 percent higher at the end of 2018 relative to current earnings.

Yet we expect that earnings estimates for 2018 will be drastically marked down in the coming year, and the S&P 500 will end the year 2018 below current levels. Furthermore, current valuations are exposed to a large a downward risk as the current rosy scenario starts to reveal its thorns …



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